Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.360513 3.924103 4.568504 5.363167 6.321330 7.445028 8.870928
2025-02-02 2.587470 3.324897 4.267330 5.575121 7.366634 9.769596 13.296043
2025-02-09 2.198398 3.010200 4.128316 5.811706 8.336408 12.072022 18.191458
2025-02-16 1.901310 2.734977 3.952588 5.909226 9.068834 14.142811 23.276285
2025-02-23 1.692088 2.537844 3.836595 6.045110 9.852009 16.433263 29.355727
2025-03-02 1.489411 2.312666 3.630946 5.982784 10.270881 18.178102 34.958890
2025-03-09 1.354808 2.172388 3.533776 6.075073 10.964575 20.564787 42.572147
2025-03-16 1.218513 2.008460 3.368945 6.010911 11.341301 22.412668 49.645183
2025-03-23 1.108719 1.874480 3.235126 5.976850 11.762577 24.445331 57.862009
2025-03-30 1.002991 1.733974 3.069109 5.849445 11.958673 26.025151 65.527864
2025-04-06 0.939517 1.662330 3.021076 5.950391 12.669881 28.982872 78.111112
2025-04-13 0.855709 1.542749 2.864845 5.797384 12.768307 30.459938 87.010962
2025-04-20 0.818345 1.518773 2.916468 6.157875 14.310233 36.529069 114.833651
2025-04-27 0.769005 1.467359 2.910515 6.405756 15.700302 42.913718 148.972745
2025-05-04 0.727732 1.425687 2.917023 6.683548 17.261122 50.522581 194.197893
2025-05-11 0.679107 1.361412 2.862729 6.798128 18.405306 57.364258 242.680657
2025-05-18 0.638959 1.309784 2.828580 6.957863 19.744897 65.585293 306.511588
2025-05-25 0.589318 1.230516 2.717110 6.884586 20.334344 71.363091 364.215386
2025-06-01 0.555243 1.182283 2.673307 6.993097 21.574243 80.461130 453.656426
2025-06-08 0.515301 1.115466 2.573443 6.917652 22.158689 87.160545 537.308171
2025-06-15 0.481204 1.058528 2.490688 6.877611 22.871501 94.940119 641.815435
2025-06-22 0.445690 0.994152 2.379712 6.727884 23.127805 100.751403 741.131088
2025-06-29 0.424684 0.963187 2.353621 6.846508 24.507861 113.336769 927.835424